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Edited by Kartaron:
8/14/2019 3:52:45 PM
24
Glory Calculator - Can I Make It?
Hi guardians - It's that time of the season again where I, like many of you probably, want to know if I can still make it the pinnacle weapon I'm after. I created an excel spreadsheet after redditor (u/tortoisemeyer/) did all the hard work back in a prior season. This season, I just put it all together into a website. It does all the number crunching behind the scenes to give you the answer to whether or not you can make it and if so how long will it take you.
Check this out and let me know if it works for you!
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Thank you to all of you that used my calculator - I hope you found it useful. I'm looking forward to updating starting tomorrow for the new season! As a spot of hope for all. I didn't make it to the NF this season- I didn't have much expectation of getting there. However, I did make it to 5,344 before I was stopped on a 7 win streak. I played my shot at getting to Legend. While it didn't happen for me this season I learned a lot on the run up to it and hope everyone take their shot too!
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7 Replies[quote]Hi guardians - It's that time of the season again where I, like many of you probably, want to know if I can still make it the pinnacle weapon I'm after. I created an excel spreadsheet after redditor (u/tortoisemeyer/) did all the hard work back in a prior season. This season, I just put it all together into a website. It does all the number crunching behind the scenes to give you the answer to whether or not you can make it and if so how long will it take you. Check this out and let me know if it works for you![/quote] Pretty awesome. According to my calculations a black hole will have swallowed the earth and a Unicorn will have fallen out of my ass by the time I get fabled.
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4 RepliesOk so I am at 1686 glory, going for a range of feasible win rates I have an 80-100% chance of hitting 2100 to get the recluse this season. We shall see.
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2 RepliesHey this may sound stupid but if I dont make it this season will i be able to try for it next season or will it go away? Just started playing again 3 weeks ago :(
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4 RepliesThe aviable to play percent should be in the main variables. Also the simulation believes in me
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1 ReplyI made it to where I wanted to be this season but I thought I’d give it a run to see my chances at legend lol 9.7% chance that’s not factoring in human motivation Still a nice program running 5 sets of 500 simulations. Well done.
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7 RepliesIf you have to think about whether or not you can make it, you probably can't lol. Js
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Bish I made it in 3 days solo! (To fabled of course ;)
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1 Reply[quote]Hi guardians - It's that time of the season again where I, like many of you probably, want to know if I can still make it the pinnacle weapon I'm after. I created an excel spreadsheet after redditor (u/tortoisemeyer/) did all the hard work back in a prior season. This season, I just put it all together into a website. It does all the number crunching behind the scenes to give you the answer to whether or not you can make it and if so how long will it take you. Check this out and let me know if it works for you![/quote] No you won’t make it cause of the players on crutches of Erentils and Shotguns and stupid shit people abuse.
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2 RepliesI have an 8.2% chance of getting to Legend. Well ain't that inspirational.
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3 Repliesthe 100% win rate doesn’t work.
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I had a lazy voice in my head for some reason?!
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5 RepliesSays 96% chance of fabled but zero to legend
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1 ReplyThis is such a cool tool/website! Thank you for doing this!
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4 RepliesSo hey, if any of y'all wanna team up to get to Legend on PS4, hit me up. Doubt you wanna end up at the receiving side of my Erentil... :-)
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4 RepliesGreat program! Good work guardian. According to it I have 88.6% chance if getting there so long as I can play 6 minutes a day lol
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1 Replyit doesnt work , no matter how many hours a day i play the rate doesnt change it also doesnt factor the increasing difficulty associated with being at a higher glory. It's easy to win when your 300 glory , when your 1500 it's different.
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3 RepliesHuh... [quote]In this simulation of 500 attempts to get to Legend, at your winrate of 60% you succeeded 100.0% of the attempts. (You have a good chance of getting there if you succeeded more than 65% of the simulations.) If you made it, you did it in 190 games on average and would have spent 72 minutes per day if you played to the end of the season. If you played for 4 hours per day you would finish in 11 days.[/quote] This thing makes it seem possible, doesn't it? Still would need a good team though...
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19 RepliesOr you could just cheese your way to NF like 50% of the player-base right now (please don't really do this). I just recently got to 5500 but am shocked how many people cheese their way to 5500.
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7 RepliesPretty nice worked for me when I was just playing with different numbers. I’m actually at 1998 so I think I’ll get pushed over 2100 at reset but I don’t really know- we will see I guess
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2 Repliesjust a calculation, which might actually make you more frustrated, believe in yourself, and keep trying, believe that you can do it.
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5 RepliesNot that I needed confirmation but my chances of hitting legend are depressing
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It tells me “lol, no chance, get gud!”
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Genius! Great work 👍
